Median price · 7 years
Rolling 12-month median, all dwellings
$780,000+6.5% past 12 months
2020202120222023202420252026
Newcastle
Strong outlook Growth score 70 Top 30% of sample
Risk score 30 Low · lower is better
Stability score 84 Consistent over 10 years
What drives the growth score
Nine metrics, each benchmarked against every suburb nationally. Weighted sum equals the score.
Sales momentum18% Strong · 74
Listing scarcity15% Strong · 75
Rental demand14% Strong · 74
Days on market12% Moderate · 67
Infrastructure investment11% Strong · 92
Jobs access10% Moderate · 50
Population growth8% Moderate · 64
Income growth7% Strong · 77
New supply pressure5% · negative High · 73
Key metrics vs benchmarks
NSW column is the sample-state average; national is the whole sample.
| Metric | Newcastle | NSW | National |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median price | $780,000 | $875,000 | $734,203 |
| 12-month growth | +6.5% | +7.3% | +8.4% |
| Gross rental yield | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% |
| Vacancy rate | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% |
| Days on market | 35 | 36 | 31 |
| Auction clearance | 68% | 67% | 62% |
| New supply pipeline | High | Moderate | Moderate |
Risk score components
Lower is safer. Components are read independently; the score is their weighted blend.
30Low risk
New supply pipelineApproved dwellings vs existing stock High · 73
Employment concentrationShare of jobs in the top two industries Low · 18
Price volatility, 5 yearsLargest peak-to-trough drawdown Low · 23
Vacancy pressureCurrent vacancy vs 2% threshold Low · 27
Hazard exposureFlood, bushfire and storm surge overlays Low · 13
Who lives here
ABS Census, latest release, aggregated to suburb
163,000population 36median age 58%owner-occupied 42%renting
Owner-occupiedRenting
Newcastle is NSW's second-largest city, 160km north of Sydney, with a major university, port, and rapidly developing CBD. The Hunter Street Mall renewal, Newcastle Light Rail, and growing remote-worker migration from Sydney are reshaping the property market.
On the ground
Committed projects and catalysts feeding the infrastructure and jobs metrics
- Newcastle Light Rail (operational)
- Hunter Street Mall urban renewal
- University of Newcastle expansion
- Newcastle Airport terminal upgrade
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