Insights
What the data says about the Australian market, published when there is something worth saying, not on a content calendar.
The three signals that move before prices do
Three inputs in the growth score, listing scarcity, rental vacancy and approval lags, typically shift months before a suburb's median price does, and each is weighted differently in the model.
Vacancy under 1%: which capitals are tightest and why
Eighteen of the 64 suburbs in our published sample now report rental vacancy under 1%, and two-thirds of them sit in Perth or Adelaide rather than Sydney or Melbourne.
Yield vs growth: choosing a strategy you can hold
Median gross yield across our published sample sits at 4.0%, but the number hides two very different strategies, and picking between them depends on timeline, borrowing capacity and appetite for vacancy risk.
Woolloongabba before the Games: what the pipeline data shows
Woolloongabba carries the highest growth score in our sample at 86, built on Olympic-precinct spending, but 74% of residents rent and stock now takes 87 days to sell, a pipeline warning worth reading closely.
How accurate were our 2025 scores? A full audit
We checked every 2025 growth score against the 12-month growth that actually followed, found a 0.61 correlation overall, and used the misses to justify two weighting changes in the January re-fit.
Reading a supply pipeline without a planning degree
A supply pipeline moves through three distinct stages, approvals, commencements and completions, and knowing which stage a suburb is in matters more than the headline approval number itself.
Western Sydney after the airport: Liverpool, Penrith and the corridor in between
Western Sydney Airport opens in 2026, and Liverpool, Penrith and Blacktown are each positioned differently along the corridor, with growth scores of 78, 74 and 66 reflecting three distinct stages of the same story.
Nothing filed under that topic yet.