How We Score Suburbs

Every PropNinja suburb score is computed from publicly available data using a weighted, rules-based model. Here is exactly how it works.

The Three Scores

Every suburb gets three scores, each on a 0–100 scale:

Boom

Growth momentum. How likely is this suburb to see price appreciation in the near term?

Risk

Investment safety. Higher = riskier. Factors in vacancy, supply, economic concentration.

Stability

Market consistency. How predictable are returns? Low volatility = high stability.

The 9 Input Metrics

Each score is derived from a weighted combination of these data points:

MetricWhat It MeasuresSource
Median PriceCurrent market valueSales data
Median RentWeekly rental priceRental listings
YieldAnnual rent / price ratioComputed
12-Month GrowthPrice change over 12 monthsSales data
Vacancy RatePercentage of unlet propertiesRental data
Days on MarketAverage selling speedSales data
Supply IndexNew stock relative to existingDevelopment approvals
Demand IndexBuyer activity and enquiry volumeMarket activity
Affordability IndexPrice relative to incomeABS income data

Weighting and Computation

Each metric is normalised to a 0–100 scale based on national distribution. The three scores use different weightings:

  • Boom Score weights growth, demand, and days on market most heavily
  • Risk Score weights vacancy, supply pipeline, and economic concentration
  • Stability Score weights price variance, yield consistency, and affordability

Exact weights are proprietary but the model is transparent in its inputs and methodology.

Data Freshness

Metrics are updated monthly from the most recent available data. Some indicators (vacancy, days on market) update more frequently than others (median price, which requires sufficient sales volume).

Limitations

  • Scores are backward-looking indicators derived from historical data
  • They do not predict future performance with certainty
  • Low-volume suburbs may have less reliable metrics
  • Local factors (flooding, specific developments) may not be captured

How to Use the Scores

The scores are designed to be a starting point for research, not a buy/sell signal. Use them to:

  • Shortlist suburbs that match your investment criteria
  • Compare suburbs across states on a consistent basis
  • Identify trends and momentum before they hit mainstream media
  • Supplement (not replace) your own due diligence
General information only. Not financial advice. Scores are indicative and should not be the sole basis for investment decisions.

Get the weekly data drop

Every week, we break down the numbers behind Australia's property market. No hype. No fluff. Just data and what it means for your next move.

Free. Weekly. Unsubscribe any time.